Trump-Backed Darline Graham’s Chances of Losing to Ralph Norman—Final Odds

South Carolina Republicans are set to choose between Senator Darline Graham and Representative Ralph Norman in the special runoff on Tuesday to pick a new nominee in the Senate race following the death of Senator Lindsey Graham. Darline Graham was appointed by South Carolina Governor Henry McMaster to fill the seat held by her brother, who died in July. She has received President Donald Trump’s endorsement in the runoff. She faces Norman, a conservative member of the House Freedom Caucus, as no candidate received an outright majority in the special primary held earlier in August. Scott Huffmon, a professor of...